Guan Cha Zhe Wang·2025-11-11 09:08Core Viewpoint - The price of Feitian Moutai has significantly declined during the 2024 and 2025 Double Eleven shopping festivals, driven by aggressive discounting strategies from e-commerce platforms, leading to a perception that the "Moutai myth" has fallen apart [1][2][12]. Price Trends - During the 2024 Double Eleven, Feitian Moutai was priced at approximately 2036 yuan on Taobao, 2061 yuan on Pinduoduo, and 2499 yuan on JD [1][18]. - In 2025, prices dropped further, with Taobao listing it at 1640 yuan and Pinduoduo at 1499 yuan, marking a significant decline from previous years [2][7]. - The price of loose Feitian Moutai has shown a downward trend, with reports of prices falling below 1600 yuan during the promotional period [5][6]. Market Dynamics - The extended promotional period for Double Eleven has led to a "price drop" phenomenon, with prices fluctuating daily and reaching new lows [5][6]. - The price of loose Feitian Moutai fell to 1715 yuan by October 27, 2024, and continued to decline, breaking the psychological barrier of 1700 yuan shortly after [6][12]. - E-commerce platforms are engaged in a fierce subsidy war, further driving prices down and impacting the profit margins of offline distributors [12][13]. Consumer Sentiment - Consumer reactions indicate a divide, with some expressing disappointment over the falling prices, suggesting that the prestige associated with Moutai is diminishing [2][12]. - The perception of Moutai as a high-value product is being challenged as prices approach cost levels, leading to concerns about the brand's market position [12][22]. Industry Context - The decline in Moutai prices is part of a broader trend affecting the high-end liquor market, with other brands like Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573 also experiencing significant price drops [22][26]. - The overall market for high-end liquor is under pressure due to changing consumer preferences, economic conditions, and stricter drinking policies [21][22]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the price of Moutai may continue to align closer to the official guidance price of 1499 yuan, reflecting ongoing market adjustments [21][22]. - The white liquor industry is expected to undergo a prolonged period of adjustment, with inventory issues and pricing pressures becoming the norm [48][49].