Core Viewpoint - Minyin International initiates coverage on Crystal International (02232) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 8.6, projecting revenue growth and profitability improvements from 2025 to 2027 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenues for 2025E-2027E are HKD 27.4 billion, HKD 30.0 billion, and HKD 33.0 billion, representing year-on-year growth of +10.8%, +9.5%, and +10.2% respectively [1] - Projected gross margins for the same period are 19.9%, 20.1%, and 20.2% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be HKD 2.3 billion, HKD 2.6 billion, and HKD 2.9 billion, with year-on-year growth of +14.7%, +12.8%, and +11.1% respectively [1] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company’s core clients are expanding their market share, with sports and denim categories leading growth [1] - The top three categories are leisure, sports, and denim, accounting for 28%, 25%, and 21% of revenue in H1 2025 respectively [1] - The sports category is expected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 18% from 2019 to 2024, driven by acquisitions and increased market share with clients like Adidas and Lululemon [1] - The denim category benefits from retro fashion trends, with the company being a key supplier for Levi's, A&F, and GAP [1] - Sweater and underwear categories are also growing steadily, with sweater revenue increasing by +29% year-on-year in H1 2025 due to innovative products [1] Group 3: Operational Capacity and Strategy - The company operates over 20 factories in Southeast Asia and China, with approximately 85% of production capacity located overseas, predominantly in Vietnam [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the workforce has grown to 79,000 employees, an increase of 9,000 from the previous year, with a focus on improving labor efficiency in the second half of the year [2] - Since 2021, the company has pursued vertical integration through acquisitions and new fabric factories, aiming for a self-supply rate of about 20% for leisure and sports fabrics by 2025, indicating potential for long-term profitability improvement [2]
民银国际：首予晶苑国际“买入”评级 目标价8.6港元