Vatee万腾：卢比汇率连日窄幅波动，为何迟迟难走出区间？

Group 1 - The Indian Rupee remains stable against the US Dollar, fluctuating around 88.85, with market activity being relatively subdued as investors await progress in US-India trade negotiations [1] - US and Indian negotiators have expressed optimism, indicating that discussions are nearing completion, although the lack of a formal agreement keeps market sentiment cautious [1] - Foreign institutional investors have shown reduced enthusiasm for the Indian stock market, with net sales of approximately 41.14 billion Rupees, reflecting short-term confidence issues [1] Group 2 - The US Dollar Index is stable around 99.65, with limited overall volatility following the Senate's approval of a temporary funding bill, which alleviates some market uncertainty [2] - The market anticipates the release of delayed economic data as US government operations resume, which may lead to significant fluctuations in the Dollar [2] - There is a 62.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in December, indicating a general expectation for a more accommodative monetary policy [2] Group 3 - From a technical analysis perspective, the USD/INR exchange rate is currently above the short-term moving average, with key indicators suggesting a potential breakout from the recent trading range [4] - Important resistance is noted at the historical high of 89.12, while downward support is focused on the August low of 87.07 [4]