特朗普赚大了，达成新的关税协议，还要每人发放2000美元关税红利

Core Viewpoint - Trump's proposal to distribute $2,000 "tariff dividends" to American citizens raises questions about the feasibility and implications of such a plan, particularly regarding funding sources and potential economic consequences [1][22]. Funding Sources - Trump's claim that the funds will come from increased tariff revenues is based on the U.S. Treasury's report indicating a record $195 billion in tariff income for FY2025, a 150% increase from FY2024 [3]. - However, the actual daily tariff revenue is approximately $5.3 million, contradicting Trump's assertion of $2 billion per day [3]. Financial Viability - With over 220 million low- to middle-income adults in the U.S., distributing $2,000 each would cost around $440 billion, and a broader coverage could push the total to $600 billion, significantly exceeding current tariff revenues [5]. - The U.S. Treasury Secretary has suggested that the "dividends" may not be direct cash payments but rather tax reductions, indicating a shift from Trump's initial cash distribution narrative [5][7]. Legal and Economic Concerns - Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to implement tariffs raises constitutional questions, with the Supreme Court currently reviewing the legality of these actions [7]. - The potential for inflation to rise again due to large-scale fiscal stimulus is a concern, especially with current inflation rates around 3%, which are still above the Federal Reserve's target [9][11]. Political Implications - Politically, the proposal may resonate with voters facing rising living costs, as it mirrors past strategies used during the pandemic to gain electoral support [13]. - Trump's narrative of "America first" suggests that foreign entities are funding these dividends, but the reality of who bears the economic burden is more complex [14]. Economic Impact - Tariffs, while generating short-term revenue, may harm U.S. businesses in the long run, with estimates indicating over $80 billion in losses for American companies in 2025 due to increased costs from tariffs [16]. - The retaliatory tariffs imposed by other countries have diminished the competitiveness of U.S. products globally, leading to a potential restructuring of supply chains away from the U.S. [18][20]. Conclusion - The logic behind Trump's "tariff dividends" appears flawed, as the funding is insufficient to support the proposed plan, and the broader economic implications could lead to higher prices and reduced purchasing power for consumers [22][23].