国际金价重回4100美元 市场进一步看涨5000美元

Group 1 - International gold prices have experienced a significant decline from over $4400 to $3900, a drop exceeding 10%, but have recently rebounded to around $4140 per ounce due to various market factors [1] - Weak employment data from the U.S. private sector and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have provided support for gold prices, with a notable increase in spot gold prices by nearly 3% recently [1] - The Challenger report indicates that U.S. corporate layoffs exceeded 150,000 in October, marking the highest level for this period in over 20 years, suggesting a slowdown in the U.S. labor market [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley's macro and fixed income strategy head predicts that gold prices may surpass $5000 next year, driven by global central bank purchases, particularly from emerging markets [2] - Emerging market economies, including China, Poland, Turkey, and Kazakhstan, are expected to lead the next wave of gold purchases, as many of these countries have substantial cash flows that need reinvestment [2]