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中集集团(000039.SZ)深海资源开发驱动海洋工程长期向好 瑞银上调评级至“买入” 目标价升至10.5元
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-11 10:47

Core Viewpoint - UBS has upgraded the rating of China International Marine Containers (000039.SZ) from "Neutral" to "Buy," raising the target price from 8.2 yuan to 10.5 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 32% from the closing price of 7.95 yuan on November 6 [1] Group 1: Marine Engineering Business - The marine engineering segment of China International Marine Containers has transformed from producing roll-on/roll-off ships and offshore wind installation vessels to becoming a high-end marine engineering equipment manufacturer [1] - UBS expects the marine engineering-related business to contribute approximately 1.9 billion yuan in incremental gross profit for the years 2026-27, exceeding previous expectations [1] - High-quality orders in marine engineering, combined with sustained demand for containers, are expected to support profit growth [1] Group 2: Deep-Sea Resource Development - UBS is optimistic about deep-sea resource development, forecasting that global capital expenditure for deep-sea resource extraction will reach 2.7 trillion USD over the next decade, driving growth in orders for FPSO and other marine engineering manufacturing [1] - The company is anticipated to begin construction on its high-value FPSO projects in 2026, contributing over 1.4 billion yuan in incremental gross profit during 2026-27 [1] Group 3: Asset Management and Container Business - The marine asset operation management business is expected to benefit from increased rental rates due to the development of global deep-sea oil and gas projects, contributing an additional 500 million yuan in incremental gross profit during 2026-27 [1] - In the first three quarters of this year, the sales of container dry boxes exceeded expectations, and UBS has raised the earnings forecast for 2026-27 by 6-8%, which is higher than the market consensus of 6% [1] - The gross profit from the container business is expected to remain above 6 billion yuan for the years 2025-26, which is still higher than the historical average, indicating resilience in the container business despite a high base [1]