2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-11-11 13:35Core Viewpoint - The refining industry in China is experiencing a significant turnaround, driven by improved profitability among major private refining companies and supportive government policies aimed at reducing low-cost competition and enhancing industry standards [1][5][6]. Group 1: Company Performance - Four major private refining companies in A-shares—Rongsheng Petrochemical, Hengli Petrochemical, Dongfang Shenghong, and Hengyi Petrochemical—saw stock price increases of 7.26%, 11.92%, 9.40%, and 8.06% respectively as of November 11 [1]. - Rongsheng Petrochemical reported a net profit of 286 million yuan for Q3, a year-on-year increase of 1427% [3]. - Hengli Petrochemical achieved a net profit of 1.972 billion yuan in Q3, with an 81% year-on-year growth, marking it as the top performer among the four companies [1][3]. - Hengyi Petrochemical turned a profit in Q3, with a net profit increase of approximately 204 million yuan, while Dongfang Shenghong's losses narrowed significantly, with a Q3 net profit improvement of nearly 1.5 billion yuan [1][3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The refining industry has faced several years of challenges due to global economic downturns and low processing fees, but recent government policies have begun to clear out outdated capacities and improve profit margins [2][4]. - The introduction of energy consumption limits in Q3 has accelerated the exit of inefficient production capacities, leading to a rapid improvement in refining profits [2][5]. - The refining sector is expected to see a turnaround in 2025, supported by ongoing "anti-involution" policies aimed at stabilizing prices and enhancing industry standards [2][5][6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The refining industry has historically struggled with low profitability, particularly in the "chemical" segment, but recent increases in domestic PX production have shifted the market from a supply shortage to a more balanced supply situation [4]. - New policies aimed at curbing low-cost competition and promoting the exit of inefficient capacities are expected to strengthen the market position of leading refining companies [5][6]. - Despite global demand pressures, China's chemical product demand remains resilient, with growth rates of 5%-10% or higher in certain sectors, driven by emerging applications in new energy and electronics [7].