比特币和以太坊2025年11月11日行情分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-11 14:06

Group 1: Bitcoin Analysis - The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart show a clear contraction, with prices retreating from the upper band and finding support near the lower band around 104,600, currently oscillating near the middle band at 105,000. This indicates intense short-term bullish and bearish battles, with the market remaining in a wide range of 104,000-108,000, and key support/resistance levels not being effectively breached [1] - The MACD indicator shows the fast and slow lines converging below the zero axis, with a shortening green momentum bar, indicating weakened short-term downward momentum, but no clear bullish crossover has formed, requiring observation of the rebound's sustainability [1] - The 4-hour RSI has rebounded from the oversold zone (below 30) to around 50, hovering in the neutral zone without showing overbought/oversold signals, confirming the oscillating pattern [1] Group 2: Ethereum Analysis - The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are continuously narrowing, with prices oscillating around the middle and lower bands (3,500-3,560), forming a typical converging triangle. The middle band (3,580) faced pressure and retreated, indicating insufficient short-term bullish strength, but the 3,500 support level remains intact without a breakdown [2] - During the rebound, trading volume has not significantly increased, showing a price rise with reduced volume, suggesting that the upward momentum relies on short covering rather than active buying, necessitating caution against false breakout risks [2] - The OBV indicator shows the energy tide line oscillating in sync with prices, confirming the current state as a range fluctuation rather than a trending market [2] Group 3: Cross-Asset Technical Insights - The strengthening of the US dollar in the short term is suppressing the rebound potential of cryptocurrencies, but it does not alter the oscillating nature of Bitcoin and Ethereum, necessitating attention to the resistance at the 95 level of the US dollar index and its subsequent impact on the market [3]