ADP报告重塑市场预期 十二月降息押注超60%

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a slowdown in the U.S. labor market as indicated by ADP employment data, leading to a significant rise in U.S. Treasury futures and a decline in the U.S. dollar index [1] - U.S. 10-year Treasury futures increased, with implied yields dropping by 4 basis points from Monday's close of 4.12% [1] - Market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut have risen, with over 60% probability priced in for a cut next month according to swap data linked to policy meeting dates [1]