美联储12月降息预期降温，XBIT数据：BTC杠杆清算价格升至10.67万美元

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the market's expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December have diminished significantly due to comments from New York Fed President Williams, who emphasized persistent inflation and a balanced approach to rate decisions [1][3][11] - Bitcoin's price has recently surpassed $106,000, with a 24-hour increase of 3.94%, driven by short-term positive news regarding the government shutdown, but the sustainability of this rise remains uncertain [1][8][11] - The leverage trading market for Bitcoin has seen a notable shift, with many positions having liquidation prices concentrated around $106,700, indicating potential risks of cascading liquidations if Bitcoin's price declines [5][10] Group 2 - Economic pressures are influencing the Federal Reserve's policy expectations, with the ongoing government shutdown leading to a lack of official economic data, causing reliance on private sector indicators [3][8] - Long-term holders of Bitcoin have been selling, with approximately 4.64 million BTC transferred from dormant wallets this year, impacting market liquidity and contributing to Bitcoin's sideways price movement [8][10] - Professional investors remain confident in Bitcoin's long-term prospects, as indicated by ongoing OTC buying activity, despite short-term caution regarding Federal Reserve policy changes [3][8][11] Group 3 - The current market environment necessitates a reassessment of trading strategies, emphasizing risk management over profit-seeking due to the dual pressures of changing Federal Reserve expectations and rising liquidation prices [10][11] - Technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin's price may experience volatility within a range, with key support at $100,000 and resistance near $110,000, highlighting the importance of setting appropriate liquidation prices [10][11] - Investors are advised to maintain a cautious approach, controlling position sizes and setting stop-loss levels, while remaining vigilant to changes in Federal Reserve communications and economic data [11]