BigBear.ai Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates, Revenues Top, Stock Up

Core Insights - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) reported mixed third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings missing estimates while revenues exceeded expectations, both showing year-over-year declines [1][5][6] Financial Performance - The company reported an adjusted loss per share of $0.07, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.06, compared to a loss of $0.05 in the prior-year quarter [5][12] - Quarterly revenues reached $33.1 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $31.1 million, but down 20% from $41.5 million in the same quarter last year, attributed to lower volume on certain U.S. Army programs [6][12] - Gross profit was $7.4 million, down from $10.8 million year-over-year, with a gross margin of 22.4%, down from 25.9% in the prior-year quarter [8] - SG&A expenses increased to $25.3 million from $17.5 million in the prior-year quarter due to higher marketing spend and labor costs [7] - Adjusted EBITDA was $9.4 million, significantly up from $0.9 million in the prior-year quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 28.4% compared to 2.3% previously [9] Strategic Developments - BigBear.ai's shares rose 12.4% in after-hours trading following the announcement of a definitive agreement to acquire Ask Sage, a generative AI platform aimed at secure deployment in defense and national security sectors [2][12] - The acquisition is expected to enhance BigBear.ai's position in the defense technology ecosystem by integrating Ask Sage's user base and AI capabilities with its decision intelligence framework, creating a secure, end-to-end AI platform [3] - The transaction is anticipated to close by late 2025 or early 2026 [3] Market Outlook - Despite recent government shutdown delays, BigBear.ai remains optimistic about growth opportunities in border security and defense, expecting new contracts and increased spending under the "One Big Beautiful Bill" [4] - The company reaffirmed its 2025 revenue outlook of $125-$140 million [14] Balance Sheet and Liquidity - As of the end of Q3 2025, BigBear.ai had a cash balance of $456.6 million, up from $50.1 million at the end of 2024, with long-term debt reduced to $104.9 million from $135.4 million [13]