2000美元能“买来”民众支持加征关税吗

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government is proposing a one-time "tariff dividend" of $2,000 per person for the American public, excluding high-income individuals, funded by revenue from tariffs, which Trump claims generates trillions for the federal government [2][3] Group 1: Financial Implications - The U.S. Census Bureau indicates a population of 340 million, meaning a total payout of $680 billion if every individual receives $2,000 [2] - Approximately 18% of American adults earn over $100,000 annually, suggesting that even after excluding high-income earners, the total cost of the "tariff dividend" would exceed $500 billion [2] - Tariff revenue for the fiscal year 2025 is projected to reach $195 billion, a significant increase of $118 billion from the previous fiscal year, but still far from the required funds for the proposed dividend [3] Group 2: Legal and Political Context - The legality of the proposed "tariff dividend" is under scrutiny, as the U.S. Constitution grants Congress the power to levy taxes, while the President's role is limited to execution and management of tax policies [4] - The Supreme Court is questioning whether the President has the authority to impose large-scale tariffs, emphasizing that taxation is a core power of Congress [5] - Officials are attempting to frame tariffs as diplomatic tools rather than revenue-generating measures, complicating the narrative surrounding the proposed dividend [6] Group 3: Economic Impact and Public Perception - Economic experts argue that the burden of tariffs will ultimately fall on American consumers and importers, potentially leading to price increases that outweigh the benefits of the proposed $2,000 payment [8] - Research indicates that during Trump's first term, tariffs led to price hikes on consumer goods, with American consumers bearing over 90% of the tariff costs [8] - The proposal for a "tariff dividend" may serve as a political strategy to counteract criticism of inflation caused by tariffs, creating a perception that protectionism equates to welfare [8][9]