Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 18.68 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.3% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.02 billion yuan, a slight year-on-year decline of 0.3%, with a net profit of 760 million yuan, down 20.7% year-on-year [1] Revenue Analysis - In Q3 2025, the sales volume decreased by 4.3% year-on-year, while the average selling price increased by 4.2% year-on-year, indicating pressure from high base effects and existing customer challenges [2] - It is anticipated that these factors will ease in Q4 2025 [2] Profitability Insights - The gross margin in Q3 2025 improved by 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter but decreased by 4.8 percentage points year-on-year to 22.2%, with seasonal improvements expected due to new factories reducing losses or turning profitable [2] - The net profit margin attributable to shareholders improved slightly by 0.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter but decreased by 3.3 percentage points year-on-year to 12.7% [2] Future Outlook - The company expects to stabilize its fundamentals in 2025, with a rebound in performance and valuation anticipated starting in 2026 [3] - Short-term challenges include operational rates of older factories and adjustments in orders, which may continue to pressure net margins in H2 2025 [3] - Mid-term growth is expected to be driven by stabilization of existing customers and the ramp-up of new clients, supported by capacity expansion [3] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 3.36 billion, 4.07 billion, and 4.72 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year changes of -12%, +21%, and +16% [3]
华利集团(300979)：净利率如期改善 期待后续弹性复苏