值得美股警惕的信号：美国低收入和年轻人群的消费意愿急速下降

Core Insights - The spending willingness of young and low-income consumers in the U.S. is sharply declining, indicating a potential slowdown in consumer spending overall [1][4] - This trend is linked to the "student loan default cliff" and negative sentiment surrounding a potential government shutdown, which are pressuring consumers' financial situations and future expectations [4] Group 1: Consumer Spending Trends - Low-income and younger consumers, particularly Gen Z and Millennials, are showing a significant decrease in discretionary spending across various sectors including dining, apparel, beauty, home improvement, electronics, and travel [1] - The data is collected weekly from thousands of consumers to gauge spending likelihood in key areas [1] Group 2: Economic Implications - The reduction in spending willingness among these demographics could signal a broader consumption slowdown, posing challenges for the performance and stock prices of related public companies [4] - The U.S. economy heavily relies on consumer spending, making this trend a critical early warning for investors [4] Group 3: Government Policy Impact - In the context of low consumer sentiment, President Trump announced a plan suggesting that every American would receive a $2,000 "dividend" from tariffs, excluding high-income individuals [5] - The estimated cost of this "tariff refund" plan is projected to reach $600 billion, significantly exceeding the expected tariff revenue of approximately $300 billion, raising concerns among economists about potential inflation [5]