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罕见!两大传奇空头同时预警,美股AI热潮真的要到头了?
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-11-12 05:59

Group 1 - Michael Burry, known for shorting Enron, has raised concerns about major AI stocks, particularly large-scale cloud service providers like Meta, Oracle, and Microsoft, suggesting their investments in AI infrastructure may lead to significant losses due to the short lifespan of semiconductors like those produced by Nvidia [1] - Burry estimates that between 2026 and 2028, five major cloud service providers will collectively underestimate depreciation by approximately $176 billion [1] - Burry speculates that Oracle's earnings may be overstated by about 26% and Meta's by about 20% by 2028, although he does not provide detailed calculations [1] Group 2 - Jim Chanos expresses similar concerns regarding the massive investments in AI hardware by large tech companies, warning that the rapid spending on AI infrastructure may not yield adequate economic returns [2] - Chanos highlights that the growth rate of spending in the AI sector is outpacing revenue growth, indicating a potential critical juncture for these companies to make tough decisions about monetizing AI investments [2] - Analysts on Wall Street have been contemplating depreciation issues related to AI investments since last year, identifying it as a potential ticking time bomb for profitability [2] Group 3 - Despite ongoing hype around AI technology, skepticism is growing as investors reassess the significant market gains and high valuations in the tech sector, with many companies still unclear on their AI monetization strategies [3] - SoftBank's recent sale of Nvidia shares for $5.83 billion has prompted further reflection on the AI hardware investment frenzy, following substantial gains from its investments in AI-related companies [3] - Goldman Sachs strategists warn that the current AI enthusiasm may be reminiscent of the early 2000s internet bubble, indicating a risk of repeating past mistakes [3][4] Group 4 - A recent report from Goldman Sachs suggests that while the U.S. stock market has not yet reached the peak seen in 1999, the ongoing AI investment frenzy is increasingly resembling the tech bubble of the early 2000s [4] - The report indicates that the imbalances accumulated during the 1990s are becoming more apparent as the AI investment trend continues [4]