Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai International has set a target price of HKD 5.94 for Weigao Group (01066) and assigned an "Accumulate" rating, while adjusting revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 downwards, yet still expecting positive growth in both metrics [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - The company achieved a year-on-year revenue increase of 2.6% to RMB 3.26 billion in Q3 2025, contributing to a total revenue of approximately RMB 9.81 billion for the first three quarters, reflecting a slight year-on-year growth of 0.9% [1] - Despite slightly lower-than-expected revenue, all segments are expected to show positive growth, with orthopedic product sales improving in the second half of the year [1] Group 2: Impact of Price Collection - The drug packaging business experienced a slight revenue decline of 0.1% year-on-year in the first half of the year due to the impact of centralized procurement of syringe products, with only low single-digit growth in Q3 [2] - The revenue forecasts for the drug packaging business for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards by 8.9%, 13.5%, and 13.4% respectively due to ongoing impacts from centralized procurement [2] Group 3: Medical Device Sector - The medical device sector has been affected by centralized procurement of low-value consumables since the second half of 2022, leading to revenue impacts starting in 2023 [3] - However, as the centralized procurement has been fully implemented nationwide, the price reduction effects are expected to be largely reflected, with a gradual recovery in sales revenue anticipated from 2026 [3] Group 4: Orthopedic Business Recovery - To boost orthopedic product sales, the company plans to shift its sales model from direct sales to distribution in 2025, which initially led to a 1.6% year-on-year decline in sales revenue during the first half of the year due to a transition period with distributors [4] - Sales revenue for the orthopedic segment improved by approximately 10% year-on-year in Q3, indicating a recovery in the second half of the year [4]
中泰国际：予威高股份(01066)“增持”评级 目标价5.94港元