“想买的不敢买，想卖的不敢卖”！直击税改冲击下的水贝黄金市场：买卖价差拉大至151元

Core Viewpoint - The new tax policy on gold transactions has significantly impacted the market, leading to decreased trading activity and increased price volatility as both buyers and sellers adopt a wait-and-see approach [1][4][6]. Summary by Sections Market Reaction - Following the implementation of the new tax policy on November 1, the trading volume in the Shenzhen Shui Bei gold market has noticeably decreased compared to September, with fewer customers visiting the stalls [1][4]. - The current gold price is reported at 1084 yuan per gram, which includes approximately 70 yuan per gram in taxes, resulting in a widened buy-sell price gap of 151 yuan per gram, compared to only 22 yuan three months prior [4][6]. Tax Policy Changes - The new tax policy differentiates between "investment" and "non-investment" gold, increasing the tax burden on non-investment transactions, which is expected to stabilize the market in the long run by addressing previous issues like false invoicing [1][6]. - The input tax for non-investment gold has decreased from 13% to 6%, leading to an effective tax burden increase of about 7 percentage points for small and medium-sized businesses in the Shui Bei market [6]. Industry Adaptation - In response to the new regulations, some merchants are promoting a "material exchange" settlement method, where customers provide old gold for processing, thus avoiding tax implications [7][9]. - The market is witnessing a shift towards "old-for-new" transactions, as consumers consider trading in old gold to offset the high prices of new jewelry, which may lead to a more vibrant secondary market [9]. Long-term Implications - The new tax structure is expected to enhance market transparency and encourage transactions through compliant channels like the Shanghai Gold Exchange, while reducing the scale of off-market transactions [6]. - The high gold prices combined with increased tax costs are altering consumer purchasing behavior, with many opting for investment-grade gold products or delaying purchases altogether [9].