IDC前瞻2026中国智能终端市场：联想等AI终端企业将迎来爆发

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that the Chinese smart terminal market is entering an AI-native era, where AI will reshape core values and interaction methods of terminals, driving deep innovation in ecosystems, scenarios, and categories, thus becoming a core engine for economic transformation and industrial upgrading [1] Industry Overview - IDC predicts that by 2026, the shipment volume of smart terminals in China will exceed 900 million units, with traditional AI terminal penetration rate expected to surpass 93% by 2027, reflecting a 4% year-on-year growth [2][3] - The transition from demographic dividends to "AI dividends" positions smart terminals as crucial carriers of new productive forces, supported by policies enhancing AI, computing power, and data element layouts [2] Company Positioning - Lenovo has established a strong competitive barrier in the AI terminal sector, leading the global PC market with a shipment of 19.4 million units and a market share of 25.5% in Q3 2025 [3] - Lenovo's AI PC business continues to lead globally, supported by its unique AI-native technology system and strong competitiveness in both consumer and commercial sectors [3] Product Innovations - Lenovo's enterprise-level super intelligent agent, launched in May 2025, has generated revenue of 1.89 billion yuan, supporting over 1 million interactions daily and significantly improving user engagement and order conversion rates [4] - The Tianxi personal super intelligent agent enhances user experience by providing proactive services and seamless collaboration across multiple devices, aligning with the trend of emotional support in human-computer interaction [5] Market Trends - The demand for AI terminals is expected to drive significant growth in the Chinese smart service robot market, projected to grow at a rate of 54% by 2026 [6] - Lenovo's global and localized production strategies are effectively addressing market demands, with significant revenue growth in the Asia-Pacific and Europe-Middle East-Africa regions [6] Future Outlook - IDC highlights that the core competitiveness of AI-native terminals will be defined by natural interaction, diverse forms, and scenario-based solutions, which Lenovo is well-positioned to leverage through its hybrid AI strategy [9] - As the AI-native era accelerates, Lenovo's AI terminal business is expected to continue leading the market, serving as a benchmark for Chinese smart terminal companies expanding globally [9]