Core Viewpoint - The stock of Hu Shang A Yi has shown significant volatility, with a recent surge of nearly 29% after a period of decline since its IPO, indicating a potential recovery phase for the company [1][4]. Company Developments - Hu Shang A Yi announced a ten-year H-share incentive plan, with a cap of 5% of the total share capital, aimed at incentivizing core talent through restricted stock [3]. - The company is launching a sub-brand "Tea Waterfall" targeting Generation Z and students, focusing on products priced below 10 yuan, which differentiates it from the main brand [3]. - The brand has expanded its store count to 10,739, a net increase of 1,303 stores since June, achieving its "10,000 store plan" [5]. Financial Performance - The latest financial report for the first half of 2025 shows a gross profit of 572 million yuan, a 10.4% increase from the previous year, with a gross margin of 31.4% [5]. - Daily average GMV per store has shown a decline from 4,109 yuan in 2022 to 3,753 yuan in 2024, indicating potential challenges in sales performance [5]. Industry Context - The new tea beverage industry is transitioning from rapid growth to a more mature phase, with a shift from "barbaric growth" to "refined cultivation," suggesting increased competition among leading companies [6]. - The growth rate predictions for Hu Shang A Yi's revenue from 2025 to 2027 are 28%, 19%, and 15%, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 46%, 33%, and 17%, indicating a downward trend [6].
突然暴涨！新消费巨头 尾盘异动