Nvidia's Upcoming Q3 Earnings Report Draws Intense Interest In Direxion's NVDU, NVDD ETFs
NvidiaNvidia(US:NVDA) Benzinga·2025-11-12 13:24

Core Insights - Nvidia Corp is set to release its third-quarter earnings report, with its stock trading just below $200 and a market capitalization of $4.69 trillion, raising questions about its future viability [1] - Wall Street analysts expect Nvidia to report adjusted earnings per share of $1.22 on revenue of $54.74 billion, compared to the previous year's EPS of 81 cents on sales of $35.08 billion, indicating strong growth [2] - Despite a year-to-date stock gain of nearly 44%, Nvidia's stock has experienced volatility, including a value erosion in early 2025 and sideways trading from late summer to late October [3] Industry Trends - The rise in interest for generative AI is a significant driver for Nvidia, with McKinsey estimating that machine intelligence could deliver $2.6 trillion to $4.4 trillion in economic benefits annually [4] - There is a noted shift in corporate focus towards AI spending rather than stock buybacks, reflecting the growing importance of AI technology in business strategies [4] Valuation Concerns - Nvidia's stock is considered to have a high valuation at nearly 57 times trailing-year earnings, and there are indications that institutional investors are reducing their exposure to the company [5] - While institutional and insider selling does not necessarily indicate a negative outlook, it may affect investor confidence [5] ETF Performance - The Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares (NVDU) has gained approximately 46% since the start of the year and over 119% in the last six months, indicating strong bullish sentiment [10] - Conversely, the Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD) has lost 42% year-to-date and over 38% in the past six months, reflecting bearish sentiment [12] Technical Analysis - The NVDU ETF is currently trading above its 50 and 200-day moving averages, with stable volume levels since May [13] - The NVDD ETF is trading below its 50 and 200-day moving averages and is facing resistance at the 20-day exponential moving average, with declining acquisition volume since summer [15]