全固态电池2030年商用？这些大咖这样说

Core Insights - The concept of all-solid-state batteries is facing cautious responses from industry experts and entrepreneurs despite being popular in the capital market [1][3] - China's power battery industry has maintained its position as the world's largest for eight consecutive years, with significant sales and export growth [3] - The commercialization timeline for all-solid-state batteries is projected to be longer than anticipated, with estimates ranging from 2027 for small-scale demonstrations to as late as 2035 for large-scale commercialization [4][5] Industry Developments - In the first three quarters of this year, China's power battery sales reached 786 GWh, with exports exceeding 129 GWh, marking year-on-year growth of 48.9% and 32.75% respectively [3] - The industry is experiencing rapid technological advancements, with key innovations such as module-free battery packs and integrated battery chassis entering the market [3] - The focus on all-solid-state batteries is accompanied by the ongoing development of semi-solid batteries, which are expected to see increased application in the next 3-5 years [5] Expert Opinions - Industry leaders emphasize the need for a realistic perspective on the challenges facing all-solid-state batteries, including scientific, engineering, and cost-related hurdles [4][5] - There is a call for the industry to explore next-generation battery technologies rather than solely focusing on all-solid-state batteries, as the ultimate form of battery technology remains uncertain [5][6] - The potential of liquid batteries is still significant, with ongoing innovations expected to enhance their performance [5][6] Future Trends - A report presented at the conference outlines seven major trends in battery development, highlighting the rapid marketization of semi-solid batteries and the need for breakthroughs in all-solid-state battery technology [6] - By 2030, semi-solid batteries are expected to achieve a capacity density of over 450 Wh/kg, meeting high-performance automotive requirements [6] - The overall landscape for all-solid-state batteries is currently in a critical phase of scientific and industrial development, with expectations for pilot testing and small-scale applications by around 2030 [6][7] Conference Highlights - The 2025 World Power Battery Conference featured discussions on various industry topics, including battery recycling, quality enhancement, and international supply chain development [7] - The conference has become a significant platform for international collaboration in the battery and new energy vehicle sectors, with over 600 new technologies and products released in previous editions [7] - A total of 180 projects were signed at the conference, amounting to 861.3 billion yuan, covering key areas in green energy [7]