2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-11-12 14:28Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has returned to $4,100 per ounce, prompting banks to raise the minimum investment threshold for gold accumulation, with some banks adjusting the starting point to a historical high of 1,500 yuan [1][5]. Group 1: Bank Adjustments - Citic Bank has raised the minimum investment amount for its gold accumulation plan from 1,000 yuan to 1,500 yuan, effective from November 15 [5]. - Construction Bank has revised its gold accumulation plan, increasing the minimum investment amount from 1,000 yuan to 1,200 yuan, marking the second increase this year [5]. - Several banks, including Agricultural Bank, have adopted a "floating mechanism" for gold accumulation, allowing the minimum investment to adjust according to real-time gold prices [6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The gold price has experienced significant volatility, with a rise of over 60% this year, peaking above $4,300 per ounce before a sharp decline [8]. - Analysts predict that while short-term fluctuations may occur due to factors like interest rate expectations and a stronger dollar, the medium-term outlook remains optimistic, with potential for gold prices to reach $4,500 to $5,000 per ounce [8][9]. - The World Gold Council maintains a positive outlook for the gold market, citing factors such as a weakening dollar and inflation risks that could support gold investment demand [8]. Group 3: Institutional Perspectives - Various financial institutions have differing forecasts for gold prices by the end of 2025, ranging from $4,200 to $4,600 per ounce, with long-term views suggesting gold retains its value as a safe-haven asset [9]. - Bank of America highlights that non-traditional policies in the U.S. will continue to favor gold, driven by factors like rising fiscal deficits and inflation [9]. - Citigroup anticipates a potential decline in gold prices to $3,650 per ounce by 2026, arguing that improving economic conditions may reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [9].