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做熟悉的品种 顺势而为
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang·2025-11-13 01:05

Core Insights - The article highlights the journey of Shen Zhichao, a seasoned trader with 12 years of experience, who has achieved notable success in the national futures trading competition, moving from ninth place in 2023 to second place in the industry group this year [2][3]. Group 1: Trading Experience and Background - Shen Zhichao's background as a meteorologist has provided him with a unique advantage in trading, particularly in weather-sensitive agricultural products [2]. - His trading journey reflects a blend of expertise from his previous career in numerical weather forecasting, which he considers a "secret weapon" in his trading strategy [2]. Group 2: Trading Strategies and Market Analysis - In September, Shen anticipated prolonged rainfall in North China, identifying potential trading opportunities in the futures market, although he did not achieve profitability from this prediction [3]. - His success in the competition was largely attributed to his trading in the shipping index (European line) futures and gold futures, with the shipping index contributing the most to his profits [3]. - Shen's bearish outlook on the shipping market was influenced by the dual impacts of the Red Sea situation and trade wars, leading him to adopt a short position [3]. - He actively engages with multiple freight forwarding groups to track real-time shipping company quotes and freight prices, which are critical for his market predictions [3]. Group 3: Trading Philosophy and Advice - Shen's trading style is characterized as trend trading, focusing on familiar products and entering the market only when there are clear trend opportunities [4]. - He emphasizes the importance of a comprehensive accumulation of time, experience, cognition, mindset, and skills in trading, advising newcomers to leave the market if they lose interest or feel unsuitable after a few years [4]. - The process of trading involves continuous self-affirmation and self-doubt, ultimately leading to the discovery of a trading path that suits the individual [4].