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降息预期突变,铜金狂涨!紫金矿业暴涨超4%,“金铜含量”更高的有色50ETF(159652)涨超3%!2026年有色大行情进阶?三大投资逻辑全面解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-13 03:02

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows a mixed trend with the non-ferrous sector experiencing a significant rise, particularly the non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652), which has gained over 3% as of 10:10 AM on November 13 [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) saw a strong inflow of over 3 million yuan yesterday, indicating robust investor interest [1]. - Major component stocks of the non-ferrous 50 ETF, such as Yahua Group and Xingye Silver Tin, rose over 9%, while others like Guocheng Mining and Yongxing Materials increased by over 8% [3]. Group 2: Component Stocks - The top ten component stocks of the non-ferrous 50 ETF include Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, and Luoyang Molybdenum, with Zijin Mining having an estimated weight of 15.52% and a price increase of 4.44% [4]. Group 3: Global Metal Prices - As of 10:14 AM, most base metals in London saw an increase, with LME copper rising by 0.65% to $10,897.00 per ton, and COMEX gold futures up by 2.07% to $4,201.4 per ounce [5]. Group 4: Investment Logic - The investment logic for the non-ferrous sector is based on three key factors: the upward financial attributes due to the dollar credit cycle, demand growth driven by the fourth industrial revolution, and rigid supply constraints due to insufficient capital expenditure and geopolitical tensions [6][7]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The non-ferrous sector is expected to maintain a bullish trend through 2026, driven by new quality production elements and the strategic value of metals, particularly in emerging fields like AI and new materials [7][8]. - The supply constraints in copper are anticipated to persist, with potential upward price movements supported by increasing demand from new technologies [8][9]. Group 6: ETF Advantages - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) boasts a leading "gold-copper content" of 46%, with a focus on strategic metals that have significant supply-demand gaps [10]. - The ETF has shown superior performance with a cumulative return leading its peers since 2022, driven by earnings rather than valuation expansion, indicating a strong investment experience [12].