研究显示AI将导致英国四分之一大企业裁员

Group 1 - A study by the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) indicates that 26% of large private sector employers and 20% of public sector employers expect a reduction in workforce due to AI applications in the next 12 months, while only 9% of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) share this expectation [1] - Among those companies anticipating layoffs due to AI, one-quarter expect a reduction of more than 10% in their workforce [1] - The financial services sector is projected to experience the most significant job cuts, with 37% of employers expecting reductions, followed by the IT sector at 26%, and the legal, accounting, and consulting sectors at 24% [1] Group 2 - The CIPD study highlights concerns regarding the impact of AI on the development of new entrants in the job market, with employers indicating that junior professional, management, and administrative roles are most likely to be affected [1] - There is currently no definitive evidence that AI is reducing job opportunities for graduates, but in the U.S., where AI technology is most advanced, the unemployment rate for non-college-educated workers has risen more sharply than for graduates [1] - Young workers in the UK are facing a prolonged recruitment slump, with direct layoffs occurring in common entry-level sectors such as retail and hospitality, which have been severely impacted by increased wage taxes [1] Group 3 - The CIPD found that employer recruitment intentions are at their lowest level on record, excluding the pandemic period, with a net employment balance of +9 [2] - Official data indicates that by the second quarter of 2025, nearly 950,000 individuals aged 16 to 24 (12.8%) will be neither in education, training, nor employment, up from 10.7% at the end of 2019, primarily driven by an increase in young people unable to work due to health issues, particularly mental health [2] - The UK government has announced an independent investigation led by former Health Secretary Milburn to examine why a significant number of individuals are exiting the labor market before starting their careers, with results expected by summer next year [2]