滙豐突破博弈:114.6元關口的輪證擇機技巧

Core Viewpoint - HSBC's stock price has risen to 113.6 HKD, surpassing previous technical predictions, indicating a strong upward trend despite initial sell signals [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The support level has moved up to 108.2 HKD, with a strong support at 104.3 HKD if it falls below this level [3]. - Resistance levels are identified at 114.6 HKD and 120.5 HKD, with Goldman Sachs projecting a target of 120 HKD [3]. - Current technical signals suggest a sell, but the strength is only 9, with an RSI of 69 indicating proximity to the overbought zone [5]. Product Performance - Recent HSBC-related products have shown significant performance, with UBS bull certificates (63092) and call warrants (18901) rising by 34% over two days, while the underlying stock only increased by 2.18% [5]. - The importance of selecting the right products is highlighted by the leverage effect observed [5]. Investment Products - Recommended call options include UBS call warrant (18901) with a strike price of 118.88 HKD and a leverage of 15.1 times, and Bank of China call warrant (19105) with a leverage of 14.8 times [8]. - For put options, UBS put warrant (18811) and Bank of China put warrant (19033) are suggested, both with a strike price of 94.39 HKD [8]. Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment is mixed, with a 53% probability of price increase, indicating a balance between bullish and bearish forces [5]. - Investors are encouraged to consider whether to buy now in anticipation of a breakout above 114.6 HKD or wait for a potential pullback to 108.2 HKD [10].