英央行维持4%基准利率不变

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4%, with increasing market expectations for a potential rate cut in December [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Decision - The Monetary Policy Committee voted 5 to 4 to keep the interest rate unchanged, with Governor Bailey supporting this decision [1] - Bailey emphasized the importance of waiting for more economic data before making further decisions, indicating a critical moment for inflation outlook [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Current inflation rate in the UK stands at 3.8%, the highest among the G7 countries, while the UK benchmark rate is double that of the European Central Bank, posing challenges for the UK government to boost the economy [1] - Unexpected stability in inflation was observed in September, and recent employment data suggests a reduction in price pressures [1] Group 3: Future Projections - The Bank of England predicts that inflation will remain above the 2% target until at least Q2 2027 [1] - Economic growth is forecasted at 1.5% for 2025, an increase from the previous estimate of 1.25%, while growth for 2026 is expected to remain stable at 1.2% [1]