研报掘金丨东兴证券:维持中国神华“强烈推荐”评级,煤炭业务有望迎来产量外延增长
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-13 05:57

Core Viewpoint - Dongxing Securities report indicates that China Shenhua's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025 is 39.052 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.24% [1] - The company is expected to show resilience due to its cost advantages in self-produced coal and the integration of coal and electricity, despite a decline in performance influenced by coal prices [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, the net profit reached 14.411 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.2% [1] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected to be 51.348 billion yuan, 53.511 billion yuan, and 54.568 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.58 yuan, 2.69 yuan, and 2.75 yuan [1] Industry Outlook - The bottom of the coal market is expected in the first half of 2025, with performance recovery driven by supply constraints due to "anti-involution" [1] - The company is acquiring coal, pithead coal power, and coal chemical assets from the National Energy Group and Western Energy, which will contribute to stable performance [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is gradually bringing new mines into production, which is anticipated to lead to an increase in coal production and contribute to stable earnings [1] - The company maintains a high dividend payout, aiming to build dual value through growth and dividends [1]