Group 1: Gold Market - The Federal Reserve is experiencing significant internal divisions regarding interest rate cuts, with both dovish and hawkish concerns being raised [2] - The U.S. non-farm payroll data is expected to be released next week, with a focus on whether there will be a noticeable decline in employment [2] - After the non-farm data release, the probability of a rate cut in December may increase, supporting gold prices [2] - Gold prices have shown an upward trend, breaking through $4200, with further potential to reach $4250 [2] Group 2: Oil Market - The U.S. API crude oil inventory increased by 1.3 million barrels, which is a positive indicator for oil prices [4] - The EIA short-term energy report indicates that U.S. crude oil production is at 13.86 million barrels per day, up from 13.79 million barrels per day in October [4] - Global crude oil consumption is projected to be 104.1 million barrels per day in 2025, slightly up from previous estimates [4] - There is expected to be significant inventory pressure from the end of this year to the first quarter of next year, with OPEC+ reaching a production peak in December [4] - Oil prices have recently turned downward, breaking below the $58.80 support level, indicating a potential test of the $55-$56 support range [4] Group 3: Copper Market - Copper prices have been fluctuating upwards over the past week but faced a setback, failing to maintain above $5.08 [6] - The support level for copper is noted at $5.01, while resistance is at $5.10 [6] Group 4: Nikkei 225 Index - The Nikkei 225 index is showing signs of further upward movement, with a narrowing volatility range and higher peaks [6] - The support level for the index is identified at 50800 [6]
百利好早盘分析：内部分歧严重 黄金强势上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-13 06:36