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财通证券:浪潮数字企业增长动力来自旧客上云以及新客全级次推广 首予“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-13 08:06

Core Insights - The report from Caitong Securities initiates coverage on Inspur Digital Enterprise (00596) with a "Buy" rating, projecting a significant growth in cloud services and management software revenue from 2020 to 2024, with a CAGR of 31.8% and expected revenue of 5.32 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.1% [1] - The cloud service revenue is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 60.1%, surpassing 50% of total revenue by 2024, indicating a strong shift towards cloud-based solutions [1] - The company's profitability is expected to improve, with operating profit margin and net profit margin reaching 8.0% and 4.7% respectively in 2024, marking increases of 3.5 percentage points and 2.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] Industry Trends - The report highlights a clear trend towards localization, cloudification, and intelligence in the ERP market, with domestic ERP vendors likely to benefit from these shifts [1] - The Chinese ERP software market is projected to reach 48.5 billion yuan in 2023, growing by 12.2% year-on-year, primarily dominated by foreign companies, but domestic replacement demand driven by policy requirements and structural adjustments is expected to be a key growth driver [1] - The industry is witnessing a trend towards cloud deployment and AI innovation aimed at enhancing software ROI, which is anticipated to further benefit leading domestic ERP vendors [1] Company Strategy - The company has a clear cloud strategy, utilizing the PaaS platform iGIX and native application GSCloud to solidify its base among central and state-owned enterprises, while also expanding its customer base through module expansion and new client acquisition [2] - Continuous optimization of products aimed at small and medium-sized enterprises is underway, with a focus on establishing industry templates and delivery reputation [2] - The company has initiated an AIFirst strategy in 2023, developing a three-tier architecture comprising enterprise service vertical models, AI-native ERP, and AIAgent clusters, with AI-related orders reaching 210 million yuan by the first half of 2025, indicating potential for long-term value expansion through AI scenario modules [2]