美国政府结束停摆，美股期货走高，现货黄金涨破4220美元，原油企稳

Core Points - The U.S. government shutdown has officially ended, leading to a rally in global stock markets, with the S&P 500 futures and European stock futures approaching historical highs [1][2] - Investors are now focused on the uncertainty surrounding delayed economic data due to the shutdown, which could impact the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions [2][7] - Gold prices have risen for five consecutive days, reaching over $4220 per ounce, as expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve grow [3][6] Market Reactions - U.S. stock futures have recovered losses, with the Nasdaq 100 futures up by 0.3% and the S&P 500 futures up by 0.2% [6] - European and Asian stock markets also showed positive movements, with the Euro Stoxx 50 futures up by 0.3% and Japan's Nikkei 225 index rising by 0.4% [6] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield increased by 2 basis points to 4.09%, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [6] Economic Data Concerns - The prolonged government shutdown has created a significant "data vacuum," complicating economic forecasts for investors and policymakers [2] - Key economic indicators, including employment data and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October, are delayed, raising concerns about the accuracy of market pricing [2] - Analysts warn that political risks remain, with potential for another funding impasse in February [2] Federal Reserve Outlook - There is a growing expectation that the Federal Reserve may consider interest rate cuts in December, contingent on the release of economic data [7] - Some Federal Reserve officials express caution, with Boston Fed President Susan Collins advocating for maintaining current interest rates due to strong economic growth [7] Trade Developments - Positive signals have emerged regarding trade negotiations, with the EU preparing to propose a plan to implement a trade agreement with the U.S. [8] - The Japanese yen is under pressure, with concerns about the new government's ability to support its currency through intervention [8] Commodity Market Movements - Gold prices have reached their highest level since October 21, reflecting investor sentiment amid economic uncertainty [3][6] - Oil prices have stabilized after experiencing significant declines, with WTI prices around $58 per barrel [8]