百利好晚盘分析：停摆结束 尘埃未定

Gold Market - Gold prices surged overnight, approaching previous highs despite the U.S. government shutdown ending, indicating persistent market uncertainty [2] - The upcoming appointment of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook is crucial, as her potential dismissal could undermine the Fed's independence, leading to increased demand for gold as a hedge against dollar risks [2] - The technical analysis shows a bullish daily candle for gold, but with signs of overextension, caution is advised for potential short-term pullbacks [2] Oil Market - WTI crude oil futures plummeted by 4.18%, and Brent crude fell by 3.76%, disrupting previous upward momentum [3] - The OPEC+ November report indicated plans to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day, while actual production fell by 73,000 barrels per day in October, signaling significant oversupply concerns [3] - The global oil market has shifted from a daily shortage of 400,000 barrels to a surplus of 500,000 barrels, with projections of record surplus levels by 2026, exerting downward pressure on oil prices [3] U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. dollar experienced limited fluctuations despite the government shutdown ending, with potential long-term weakness anticipated due to future Fed actions [4] - The temporary funding bill signed by President Trump could lead to another shutdown, maintaining pressure on the dollar and dollar-denominated assets [4] - Economic data is expected to be weak, likely prompting the Fed to continue lowering interest rates, contributing to the dollar's long-term decline [4] Technical Analysis - The dollar index is forming a bearish continuation pattern, suggesting prolonged weakness, with short-term resistance at 99.70 [5] - The Nikkei 225 index shows signs of recovery, with a bullish candlestick pattern and potential support at 50,740 [6] - Copper prices are forming a bullish continuation pattern, with short-term adjustments expected, focusing on support around $5 [7]