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中信里昂:上调新秀丽目标价至22港元 重申高度确信的“跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-13 09:31

Core Viewpoint - Citic Lyon has raised the target price for Samsonite (01910) by 4.8%, from HKD 21 to HKD 22, maintaining a strong "outperform" rating, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential [1] Group 1: Financial Forecasts - Citic Lyon has increased its sales forecasts for the company for the fiscal years 2025-2027 by 2-3% and adjusted net profit forecasts by 2-10%, primarily due to improved outlook for the second half of 2025 [1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal year 2025 is projected to be 16.4%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, while it is expected to reach 17.1% in fiscal year 2026, with sales returning to a 3% growth [1] Group 2: Recent Performance and Outlook - In the third quarter, the company's sales decreased by 1.3% year-on-year to USD 873 million, but all regions and brands recorded sequential growth [1] - Sales turned positive from August to October, with a continued positive trend from November to the present [1] - The Chinese market outperformed expectations in the third quarter, with a year-on-year increase of 10%, aligning with Citic Lyon's prior expectations, and management is confident about sequential improvement in the fourth quarter [1] - Citic Lyon anticipates a slight year-on-year decline of 0.2% in sales for the fourth quarter, with an overall expected decline of 3% in annual sales [1]