21专访|陆挺:新老经济并重,要让消费敢为
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-11-13 12:10

Core Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high-quality development over specific growth targets, focusing on sustainable economic growth and addressing social issues [1][4][10] Economic Development Goals - The goal of achieving "per capita GDP at the level of moderately developed countries" requires three core conditions: enhancing industrial value-added, promoting inclusive growth, and improving social security systems [3][4] High-Quality Development - High-quality development involves addressing historical issues in the "old economy," fostering self-reliance in key industries, and ensuring inclusive growth for all demographics [4][5][6] Key Economic Drivers - Consumption is identified as a critical variable for future economic growth, with government policies aimed at boosting consumer spending through subsidies and pension increases [6][7] Export Performance - Over the past five years, China's exports have seen an average annual growth rate of 8%, driven by a strong manufacturing sector and an increase in high-value-added products [8][9] Future Export Trends - Future export growth is expected to stabilize at 2%-4% annually due to high base effects and external economic pressures, indicating a shift towards low-speed, stable growth in foreign trade [10] Addressing "Involution" - To combat "involution," a collaborative approach involving market-driven mechanisms, industry associations, and government guidance is necessary to eliminate inefficiencies and promote healthy competition [11] Regional Development Focus - The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is highlighted as a key region for high-quality development, with Shenzhen aiming to become a global financial center by leveraging its unique advantages [12][13]