Core Viewpoint - Zhenstone Co., Ltd. is facing multiple challenges and scrutiny as it approaches its IPO on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, despite holding a significant 35% market share in the global wind power fiberglass fabric market [2] Group 1: Dependency on Related Transactions - The company has a high dependency on its parent company, China Jushi, with 76.5% of its procurement in 2024 coming from them, raising questions about its independence and decision-making [3] - Zhenstone has promised to reduce this dependency to below 50% by 2025 through new supplier partnerships, but current data shows that 91% of its procurement in the first half of 2025 is still from China Jushi [3] - The company's revenue dropped from 5.267 billion to 4.439 billion due to falling fiberglass prices, indicating vulnerability to market fluctuations [3] Group 2: Financial Concerns - Zhenstone's financials reveal a high debt ratio of 69.27% and short-term loans of 1.888 billion, while it has distributed 1.14 billion in cash dividends over the past two years, raising concerns about its financial management [4] - The return on equity (ROE) has significantly decreased from 37.08% in 2022 to 12.90% in 2025, and the company has faced negative operating cash flows multiple times, questioning the quality of its earnings [4] - The company's approach to bad debt provisions has been inconsistent, with 80% provision for one client and only 30% for another, leading to regulatory scrutiny [4] Group 3: Investment Project Viability - The company plans to allocate 80% of its fundraising to capacity expansion, despite only utilizing 81.72% of its current capacity in 2024, raising questions about the necessity of such investments [5] - The overseas project in Spain aims to avoid EU tariffs, but ongoing anti-dumping investigations pose significant policy risks [5] Group 4: Industry Risks - The wind power industry is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 10.94% from 2024 to 2030, providing a favorable market environment for Zhenstone [6] - However, the company faces client concentration risks, with over 50% of revenue coming from its top five clients, which could lead to cash flow issues if market conditions deteriorate [6] - Regulatory issues, including past financing irregularities and related party transactions, have raised concerns about corporate governance and transparency [6] Group 5: Technological Risks - While fiberglass is currently a core material for wind turbine blades, the emergence of alternative materials like carbon fiber poses a long-term threat to Zhenstone's market position [7] - The company's annual R&D investment of approximately 160 million may not be sufficient to keep pace with technological advancements in materials [7] - The upcoming review meeting will address critical questions regarding the independence of related transactions, the necessity of investment projects, and the potential for reversing declining profits [7]
振石股份IPO:关联依赖与分红争议难掩 ，募资合理性与独立性遭双重拷问
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-13 14:06