美国政府开始漫长的重启

Core Points - The U.S. government shutdown, lasting 43 days, has officially ended with President Trump signing a temporary funding bill, but it may face another shutdown risk in early 2024 [2][5][6] - The shutdown resulted in an estimated loss of $1.5 trillion to the economy, with significant impacts on federal programs and services [3][4] - The political divide between the two parties remains deep, with ongoing negotiations expected to continue, potentially leading to future funding crises [6][7] Economic Impact - The Congressional Budget Office predicts a decline of 1 to 2 percentage points in the annualized GDP growth rate by Q4 2025 due to the shutdown [2] - The shutdown disrupted food assistance programs affecting 42 million Americans, leading to increased demand at food banks [3] - The aviation industry experienced significant disruptions, with over 1,000 flights delayed or canceled daily during the shutdown [4] Future Outlook - The temporary funding bill only extends government operations until January 30, 2024, indicating a likelihood of renewed budgetary conflicts shortly thereafter [5][6] - The lack of resolution on key issues, such as healthcare subsidies, suggests that the underlying political tensions remain unresolved [6][7] - The absence of reliable economic data due to the shutdown may complicate the Federal Reserve's decision-making regarding interest rates in the coming months [8][9]