今日期货市场重要快讯汇总｜2025年11月14日

Group 1: Precious Metals Futures - Spot gold prices experienced volatility on November 14, initially breaking through $4180/oz, with a daily increase of 0.22%, but later fell below $4180, $4170, $4160, and $4150/oz, resulting in a daily decline of 1.13% [1][2] - New York futures for gold also saw a downward trend, initially surpassing $4180/oz, with a daily decrease of 0.34%, and subsequently deepening losses, falling below $4180, $4170, $4160, and $4150/oz, with a maximum daily drop of 1.53% [3][4] - In the silver market, spot silver prices broke through $53/oz in the morning of November 14, with a daily decline of 0.10%, and New York futures for silver fell below $52/oz, expanding the daily drop to 2.73% [5][6] Group 2: Macro and Market Impact - Market focus is on Federal Reserve policy expectations, with short-term interest rate derivatives indicating less than 50% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December, as traders' bets on a rate cut have fallen below 50% [7][8] - Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack stated that the Fed should maintain rates to continue reducing inflation, while St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem emphasized caution in further rate cuts due to inflation remaining above the 2% target [9][10] - Internationally, European financial stability officials are discussing a plan to integrate non-U.S. dollar reserves to establish an alternative liquidity support mechanism to reduce dependence on the U.S. [11] - The U.S. and Argentina reached a trade agreement framework, agreeing to open markets in key commodity sectors, with the U.S. also planning to introduce some tariff exemptions to lower food prices [12][13] - The U.S. dollar index faced pressure, falling below 99 for the first time since October 30, with a daily drop of 0.47%, while the U.S. stock market weakened, with the Nasdaq index declining by 2.00% and the S&P 500 index down by 1.00%, driven by risk aversion and tech stock sell-offs [14][15][16] Group 3: Energy and Shipping Futures - The International Energy Agency (IEA) raised its forecast for global oil surplus for next year for the sixth consecutive month, primarily due to OPEC+ continuing to restore supply while demand growth remains weak [17] Group 4: Financial Futures - The cryptocurrency market saw a significant pullback, with Bitcoin dropping below $100,000 on November 13 and further declining below $99,000 on November 14, with a daily drop of 2.71%, resulting in a market cap loss of over $450 billion since early October, indicating a confirmed bear market with the next key support level at $93,000 [18][20] - Ethereum also experienced a decline, falling below $3,300 on November 14 with a daily drop of 3.40%, and subsequently dropping below $3,200, with the daily decline expanding to 6.34% [21][22]