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建银国际:看好腾讯音乐-SW领导地位和可持续盈利能力 目标价105.7港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-14 02:38

Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International expresses a positive outlook on Tencent Music (01698), highlighting its leadership position and sustainable profitability due to its differentiated business model, quality content, user base, and diversified revenue streams [1] Financial Performance - Tencent Music's Q3 2025 results slightly exceeded expectations, with total revenue and Non-GAAP net profit surpassing institutional forecasts by 3% and 4% respectively, driven by growth in non-subscription music service revenue [1] - For Q4 2025, revenue is expected to increase by 12.6% year-on-year to 8.4 billion RMB, with a net addition of 1.3 million music subscription users, bringing the total to 127 million [1] - Average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) is projected to rise by 9.9% year-on-year to 12.2 RMB, with gross margin expected to increase by 1.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 45.1% [1] - Non-GAAP net profit is anticipated to grow by 10% year-on-year to 2.5 billion RMB [1] Investment Recommendation - Jianyin International maintains a "Outperform" rating with a target price of 105.7 HKD, suggesting that the recent stock price pullback presents a good buying opportunity [1]