Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the demand for improved housing in first-tier cities remains stable, with new residential prices for 90-144m² properties showing optimal stability month-on-month [1] - In first-tier cities, the proportion of house-hunting for 90-120m² units is 29%, while for 120-140m² units it is 21.1%, highlighting that improved demand is a key support for transactions [1] - There is still downward pressure on housing prices in smaller cities with high inventory, where the inventory digestion cycle exceeds 20 months, leading to a month-on-month decline in new home prices due to developers' strategies to boost sales through price reductions [1] Group 2 - Overall, the trend of stabilization in core first-tier areas, differentiation in second-tier cities, and pressure in third and fourth-tier cities remains unchanged [2] - In November and December, with increased policy support and year-end pushes from developers, the market is expected to show characteristics of "stable volume, weak prices, and ongoing differentiation" [2] - The transaction volume for second-hand homes is expected to remain stable compared to October, particularly in core cities like Shanghai, Beijing, Hangzhou, and Chengdu, where both volume and price are likely to stabilize [2]
58安居客研究院:一线城市改善需求依然稳定