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KE Holdings: Upside Is Attractive, But I Prefer To Wait For More Proof
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-02 22:45
Investment Rating and Strategy - The analyst gives a hold rating for KE Holdings (NYSE: BEKE) due to the need for more evidence that the current demand improvement trend is sustainable [1] - The analyst seeks growth acceleration supported by improving macroeconomic demand before reconsidering the rating [1] Analyst Background and Approach - The analyst is an individual investor managing personal capital accumulated over the years [1] - The analyst employs a diversified investment approach, including fundamental investing, technical investing, and momentum investing [1] - The analyst uses Seeking Alpha as a platform to track investment ideas and connect with like-minded investors [1] Disclosure and Independence - The analyst has no stock, option, or derivative positions in the mentioned companies and no plans to initiate such positions within the next 72 hours [2] - The article reflects the analyst's personal opinions and is not influenced by compensation or business relationships with the mentioned companies [2]
贝壳:受益政策利好,增加投入巩固市场地位
兴业证券· 2024-11-26 04:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing its strong market position and expected growth in adjusted net profit for 2024/2025/2026 [3][6] Core Views - The company benefits from favorable real estate policies, which are expected to drive market recovery and enhance its market share [6] - The company's new home GTV monetization rate reached a historical high in 2024Q3, with a GTV of 227.6 billion yuan, up 18.5% YoY, outperforming the industry [5] - The company's rental service business revenue grew 118% YoY in 2024Q3, driven by the rapid expansion of its "Worry-Free Rent" managed properties [6] - The company has consistently delivered on its shareholder return commitments, with $5.8 billion used for share repurchases in the first three quarters of 2024 [6] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024Q3 was 22.6 billion yuan, up 26.8% YoY, with a gross margin of 22.7%, down 5.2 percentage points QoQ due to increased fixed costs [7] - Adjusted net profit for 2024Q3 was 1.78 billion yuan, down 17.5% YoY, but exceeded Bloomberg consensus expectations [7] - The company's existing home GTV in 2024Q3 was 477.8 billion yuan, up 8.8% YoY, with expectations of significant YoY and QoQ growth in Q4 due to policy tailwinds [7] Business Segments - The home decoration and furnishing segment saw a GTV of 4.1 billion yuan in 2024Q3, up 24.6% YoY, with a contribution margin increase of 2.1 percentage points to 31% [9] - The rental service business contributed a profit margin of 4.4% in 2024Q3, down 1.4 percentage points QoQ due to seasonal cost increases [6] Market Data - The company's closing price was $19.98 per ADS, with a total market capitalization of $24.1 billion and total assets of 1,227.96 billion yuan as of November 21, 2024 [1] - The company's net assets were 707.75 billion yuan, with a net asset per share of 19.5 yuan [1]
BEKE(BEKE) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2024-11-25 11:30
Exhibit 99.1 KE Holdings Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results BEIJING, China, November 21, 2024 - KE Holdings Inc. ("Beike" or the "Company") (NYSE: BEKE and HKEX: 2423), a leading integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services, today announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. Business and Financial Highlights for the Third Quarter 2024 · Gross transaction value (GTV) was RMB736.8 billion (US$105.0 billion) ...
BEKE(BEKE) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-22 19:57
KE Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BEKE) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call November 21, 2024 7:00 AM ET Company Participants Siting Li - IR Director Stanley Peng - Co-Founder, Chairman and CEO Tao Xu - Executive Director and CFO Conference Call Participants John Lam - UBS Timothy Zhao - Goldman Sachs Griffin Chan - Citi Thomas Chong - Jefferies Miranda Zhuang - Bank of America Securities Operator Hello, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by for KE Holdings, Inc.'s Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. P ...
贝壳:在第四季度乘着政策顺风
招银国际· 2024-11-22 02:28
Investment Rating - Maintains a **Buy** rating with a target price raised to **USD 23.3** (previously USD 21.5), reflecting a 15.2% upside from the current price of USD 20.23 [1][5] Core Views - **Revenue Growth**: Q3 2024 revenue increased by 27% YoY to RMB 22.6 billion, slightly below Bloomberg consensus and CICC estimates by 1.5% and 4.7%, respectively, due to weak existing home transaction (EHT) sentiment [1] - **Non-GAAP Net Income**: Q3 2024 non-GAAP net income was RMB 1.8 billion, with a gross margin of 7.9%, in line with expectations, driven by cost control measures [1] - **Market Share Expansion**: Continued market share gains in both existing home transactions (EHT) and new home transactions (NHT), along with successful new business expansion, support a positive outlook [1] - **Q4 2024 Outlook**: EHT and NHT gross transaction value (GTV) are expected to grow over 40% YoY, supported by strong performance in October and November, though additional expenses of RMB 1-1.5 billion may reduce Q4 non-GAAP net income to RMB 220 million [2] Business Performance - **EHT Performance**: EHT GTV grew 9% YoY but declined 17% QoQ due to slowing transaction sentiment post-June peak, with contribution margin dropping 7 percentage points to 41% due to increased fixed costs from agent expansion [2] - **NHT Performance**: NHT GTV grew 18.5% YoY, significantly outperforming the industry's 19% decline, driven by partnerships with state-owned developers [2] - **Policy Impact**: Policy Package 924 and subsequent measures have significantly boosted transaction sentiment, with better sustainability compared to previous policy supports [2] Financial Projections - **Revenue Growth**: FY2024E revenue is projected at RMB 91.0 billion, growing 17.1% YoY, with FY2025E and FY2026E revenues expected at RMB 107.7 billion (+18.3% YoY) and RMB 121.8 billion (+13.0% YoY), respectively [4] - **Non-GAAP Net Profit**: FY2024E non-GAAP net profit is estimated at RMB 8.1 billion, with FY2025E and FY2026E projections of RMB 9.4 billion (+16.7% YoY) and RMB 10.9 billion (+16.0% YoY), respectively [4] - **Valuation Metrics**: The target price implies a 2025E non-GAAP P/E of 21.4x, with core business valued at USD 22.3 per ADS and Shengdu at USD 0.9 per ADS [1][10] Corporate Social Responsibility - **Employee Welfare**: Plans to invest RMB 1.2 billion over the next 3-4 years in employee welfare, including transitioning to fixed salary structures and providing social insurance for brokers, enhancing long-term value [3] Valuation Summary - **DCF Valuation**: The discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation for the core business is RMB 193.7 billion, with a total enterprise value of RMB 201.7 billion, translating to a valuation of USD 23.3 per ADS [9][10] - **SOTP Valuation**: The sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation includes RMB 193.7 billion for the core business and RMB 8.0 billion for Shengdu, resulting in a total valuation of RMB 201.7 billion (USD 28.0 billion) [10]
贝壳:To ride on the policy tailwind in 4Q
招银国际· 2024-11-22 01:51
22 Nov 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Ke Holdings (BEKE US) To ride on the policy tailwind in 4Q Beike reported (21 Nov) 3Q24 results: revenue increased 27% YoY to RMB22.6bn, 1.5%/4.7% below Bloomberg consensus/CMBI estimates, mainly due to the mixed performance where existing home GTV (EHT) was dragged by low home transaction sentiment and new home transactions (NHT) were benefited from market share gains. Non-GAAP net income was RMB1.8bn, representing a margin of ...
BEKE(BEKE) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2024-11-21 11:34
KE Holdings Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results BEIJING, China, November 21, 2024 - KE Holdings Inc. ("Beike" or the "Company") (NYSE: BEKE and HKEX: 2423), a leading integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services, today announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. Business and Financial Highlights for the Third Quarter 2024 • Gross transaction value (GTV)1 was RMB736.8 billion (US$105.0 billion), an increas ...
KE Holdings Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2024-11-21 10:00
BEIJING, Nov. 21, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- KE Holdings Inc. ("Beike" or the "Company") (NYSE: BEKE and HKEX: 2423), a leading integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services, today announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. Business and Financial Highlights for the Third Quarter 2024 Gross transaction value (GTV)1 was RMB736.8 billion (US$105.0 billion), an increase of 12.5% yearover-year. GTV of existing home transactions was RMB47 ...
贝壳:受益税费优化利好,关注一线普宅非普宅调整催化
天风证券· 2024-11-18 07:27
海外公司报告 | 公司动态研究 受益税费优化利好,关注一线普宅非普宅调整催化 受益税费优化利好,关注一线普宅非普宅调整催化 11 月 13 日,财政部等三部门发布住房交易税收新政,家庭唯一和第二套住房不超 过 140 平方米统一按 1%税率缴纳契税;城市取消普通住宅标准后购房满 2 年再销 售免征增值税。我们认为,契税政策调整支持刚性需求,并激发改善性需求。而非 普增值税取消将大幅降低二手房交易成本,尤其是住房总价较高的高能级城市,有 望推动二手市场交投活跃,进而助力基本面热度延续和量价回暖。公司以存量房及 新房交易为主营业务,税费政策利好有望带动新房及二手房需求提升,近期,一线 城市中北京已明确表态"适时取消普宅非普宅标准",不排除其他城市将同步跟进, 建议关注潜在政策调整空间带来的业务增量。 一揽子政策提振热度,四季度业绩动能可期 2024 上半年,公司实现总交易额(GTV)为 1.47 万亿元,同比减少 16.2%。其中, 存量房交易的总交易额为 1.02万亿元,同比减少 8.7%;新房交易的总交易额为 3871 亿元,同比减少 32.4%;公司实现净收入 397 亿元,较 23 年同期的 398 亿元 ...
Here's Why KE Hodlings (BEKE) Could be Great Choice for a Bottom Fisher
ZACKS· 2024-10-10 14:55
A downtrend has been apparent in KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (BEKE) lately. While the stock has lost 12.1% over the past week, it could witness a trend reversal as a hammer chart pattern was formed in its last trading session. This could mean that the bulls have been able to counteract the bears to help the stock find support. While the formation of a hammer pattern is a technical indication of nearing a bottom with potential exhaustion of selling pressure, rising optimism among Wall Street analysts abou ...