10月工业增速高位放缓，高技术制造业仍有亮眼表现

Core Insights - In October, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 4.9% year-on-year, a decline of 1.6 percentage points compared to September. For the period from January to October, the industrial added value grew by 6.1% [1] - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October was 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [1] - Among the three major sectors, mining added value grew by 4.5%, manufacturing by 4.9%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water by 5.4% in October [1] Economic Type Analysis - In October, state-owned enterprises saw a 6.7% year-on-year increase in added value, while joint-stock enterprises grew by 5.2%, foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises by 4.0%, and private enterprises by 2.1% [2] High-tech Manufacturing Insights - High-tech manufacturing added value increased by 7.2% year-on-year in October, surpassing the overall industrial added value growth by 2.3 percentage points. Cumulatively, from January to October, high-tech manufacturing added value rose by 9.3% [3] Industry Performance - Out of 41 major industries, 29 reported year-on-year growth in added value in October. Notable growth was seen in the automotive manufacturing sector at 16.8%, transportation equipment manufacturing at 15.2%, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing at 4.9%, and computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing at 8.9% [5] - The decline in industrial production momentum in October is attributed to the fading impact of short-term factors from September and a decrease in export growth, which is expected to affect industrial production [5] Policy and Economic Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools have been fully allocated, supporting 2,300 projects with a total investment of approximately 7 trillion yuan. Additionally, 500 billion yuan in special bonds have been allocated to support local investment projects [6] - Analysts predict a potential slight rebound in exports in November, supported by fiscal policies aimed at stabilizing growth, which may bolster industrial production [6] - The economic growth momentum is expected to shift from manufacturing to services, marking a significant change from the previous year [6] - Despite supportive policies, challenges remain with a persistent imbalance between strong supply and weak demand, alongside pressures from slowing exports and rising base effects [6][7]