基数抬升扰动10月经济数据，假期消费带动服务零售额回升

Economic Overview - In October, China's economy showed signs of structural adjustment with emerging industries growing, supported by consumption during the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays [1][6] - The overall economic operation remains stable, with industrial production continuing to grow and a notable increase in high-tech manufacturing [6][7] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 4.9% year-on-year in October, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from the previous month [1] - The equipment manufacturing sector saw an 8% increase in added value, significantly outpacing the overall industrial growth [1][6] - From January to October, the industrial added value increased by 6.1%, showing overall stability [1] Service Sector - The service production index grew by 4.6% year-on-year in October, with a decline of 1 percentage point from the previous month due to high base effects [1] - The information transmission, software, and IT services sectors saw significant growth, with production indices increasing by 13% and 8.2% respectively [1] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.9% year-on-year in October, slightly down from the previous month [2] - The retail sales of communication equipment and cultural office supplies grew by 23.2% and 13.5% respectively, indicating a positive impact from the trade-in policy [2] - Service retail sales increased by 5.3% from January to October, with notable growth in leisure, communication, and travel services [2] Trade and Investment - The total import and export value grew by 0.1% year-on-year in October, with exports declining by 0.8% and imports increasing by 1.4% [2] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 1.7% from January to October, with infrastructure investment down by 0.1% [3] - High-tech sector investments, particularly in aerospace and information services, saw significant growth, with increases of 19.7% and 32.7% respectively [3] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year in October, reversing a previous decline [4] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year but showed signs of improvement with a 0.1% month-on-month increase [4] Employment and Economic Stability - The urban unemployment rate was 5.1% in October, a slight decrease from the previous month, indicating a positive trend in job recovery [4] - The government has implemented policies to stimulate economic growth, including the introduction of new financial tools and measures to boost private investment [5][9]