美联储，降息有变？比特币大跌，近20万人爆仓！油价，突然拉升

Cryptocurrency Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant selling pressure, with Bitcoin and most related assets deeply entrenched in a bear market, as noted by 10X Research [4] - In the last 24 hours, nearly 200,000 individuals have faced liquidation in the cryptocurrency market, indicating high volatility and risk [2] - The total liquidation amount over the past 24 hours reached approximately $760 million, with long positions accounting for $760 million and short positions for $150 million [3] Bitcoin ETF and Market Sentiment - The sell-off of spot Bitcoin ETFs has reached approximately $2.8 billion over the past month, suggesting a potential outflow of funds if Bitcoin's price momentum continues to stagnate before the December Federal Reserve meeting [3] - Market sentiment is further pressured by the dual forces of spot selling and corporate hedging, leading traders to largely avoid altcoins [4] Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester emphasized the need for the Federal Reserve to maintain stable interest rates to continue applying pressure on inflation, which remains stubbornly high [5] - Current interest rates are not considered restrictive enough, and inflationary pressures are expected to persist into early next year [6] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December stands at 51.6%, while the likelihood of maintaining current rates is at 48.4% [8] International Developments - South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol announced a consensus with the U.S. on tariff and security negotiations, including plans for South Korea to build nuclear submarines [11] - The partnership will extend to shipbuilding, artificial intelligence, and nuclear industries, indicating a strengthening of U.S.-South Korea relations [12]