LBX(SH:603883) Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-11-14 05:31Core Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for an economic development model driven by domestic demand and consumption, especially in light of increasing uncertainties in the international environment [1][2] - The target for GDP growth during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period is set at an average of 4.17%, with a projected GDP total of 175 trillion yuan by 2030, requiring an increase in total supply and demand by approximately 35 trillion yuan over the next five years [1][2] Group 1: Economic Growth Drivers - The reliance on external demand for economic growth is expected to decline, making it essential to focus on expanding resident consumption to maintain reasonable economic growth [1][2] - Capital formation is anticipated to contribute more to economic growth, but it is unlikely to return to peak levels seen in the past [2] Group 2: Strategies for Expanding Consumption - A shift in development perspective is necessary, where local governments should prioritize understanding and meeting consumer demand rather than solely focusing on investment projects [2][3] - Specific targets should be set in the "15th Five-Year Plan" to improve indicators such as the resident consumption rate and the proportion of disposable income in national income [2] Group 3: Income Distribution and Urbanization - Improving the income distribution system is crucial for balancing supply and demand, with a focus on increasing the income of all citizens through actionable policies [3] - Supporting the urbanization of the nearly 300 million agricultural migrant workers is vital for creating a consumption-driven development model, with recommendations for cities to adopt metrics for integrating these populations into urban life [3]