科技巨头「偷偷借钱」搞AI，次贷危机魅影重现？

Group 1 - Meta plans to invest $600 billion in the U.S. by 2028 for AI data centers and talent recruitment [1] - Meta recently completed a $30 billion financing through a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) for data center construction [1] - Alphabet is set to issue an additional €3 billion in bonds this year after a previous €6.75 billion issuance [1] Group 2 - Oracle's Credit Default Swaps (CDS) surged in September, indicating market concerns over its high debt levels related to AI infrastructure investments [2][5] - The total financing for tech companies in the U.S. reached $157 billion by the end of September, a 70% increase year-over-year [2] - Oracle signed a $300 billion computing power procurement contract with OpenAI, boosting its stock price significantly [2][9] Group 3 - Oracle's debt-to-equity ratio is significantly higher than other AI giants, with a debt ratio of approximately 85% [6][9] - Despite Oracle's high leverage, many leading AI companies are still showing strong profit growth, with Alphabet's Q3 revenue at $102.35 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase [9][10] - The current capital investments in AI, while substantial, remain within a reasonable range compared to historical bubbles [10] Group 4 - The U.S. tech companies are expected to invest nearly $700 billion in data center construction by 2027, contrasting with Chinese companies' projected investment of under $80 billion [12] - Meta's SPV financing structure allows it to isolate $30 billion in debt from its balance sheet, improving its financial appearance [16] - The use of SPVs by tech companies is a strategy to manage debt pressure and attract diverse investors [16][17] Group 5 - Indicators for identifying an "AI bubble" include the proportion of new funding from loans and the sustainability of stock price growth [18][19] - Current debt levels in AI companies are lower than during the internet bubble, suggesting a safer debt structure [19] - The market's ability to adjust quickly due to modern trading systems may lead to shorter correction periods compared to past bubbles [20]