星展银行:美债收益率攀升或支撑美元反弹,日元面临财政风险考验
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-15 00:13

Core Insights - The recent decline of the US dollar may be reversing due to rising long-term US Treasury yields and a decrease in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts [1] - Increased volatility in the Japanese yen is anticipated due to uncertainties surrounding the domestic fiscal budget [1] Group 1: US Dollar and Treasury Yields - Demand for the recent 30-year US Treasury auction was weak, contributing to higher long-term Treasury yields, which supports the US dollar [1] - Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December have decreased from 66% to 50% [1] - Recent statements from Federal Reserve officials indicate a cautious stance on rate cuts, with Daly suggesting it is too early to decide on cuts and Hammack expressing concerns about persistent inflation [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Upcoming US economic indicators, particularly non-farm payroll data, are deemed increasingly important in light of the current economic context [1]