核心CPI连涨6个月 服务价格的回升发出什么信号

Core Insights - The inflation level in October has drawn market attention, with the core CPI rising for six consecutive months, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.2% [1] - The October CPI increased by 0.2% year-on-year and month-on-month, primarily driven by the core CPI [1] - The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, reflects long-term price trends and is crucial for assessing current economic conditions and future inflation [1] CPI Components - In October, six out of seven major price categories in the core CPI increased year-on-year, with notable rises in other goods and services (12.8%), personal care (1.9%), and clothing (1.7%) [1] - Healthcare, education, and housing prices rose by 1.4%, 0.9%, and 0.1% respectively, while transportation and communication prices decreased by 1.5% [1] - Month-on-month, other goods and services surged by 3.8%, contributing significantly to the core CPI increase [1] Other Goods and Services - Other goods and services, which include jewelry, watches, and funeral services, accounted for 3.0% of per capita consumption expenditure in the first three quarters of 2025, with a growth rate of 10.3% [2] - The price of gold jewelry and platinum increased by 50.3% and 46.1% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a strong correlation between gold prices and the CPI [2] Service Prices - Service prices have been gradually increasing since March, with a 0.8% rise in October, marking a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month [3] - The service sector's value added reached 592,955 billion yuan in the first three quarters, growing by 5.4% year-on-year and contributing 60.7% to national economic growth [3] Factors Influencing Service Prices - The growth in service demand and prices is attributed to the application of new technologies and the digital transformation of traditional services, which increases operational costs [4] - Demographic factors, such as an aging population and a decrease in young labor force, are leading to increased demand for healthcare, education, and high-quality services, driving up prices [5] - Despite economic pressures, there remains potential for further growth in service demand, indicating that the current price increase trend is still in its early stages [5]