大的要来了，泽连斯基给欧洲划下2029年死线，可笑的是谁在替谁卖命还没搞清楚

Core Viewpoint - Ukrainian President Zelensky's assertion that Europe must prepare for a potential Russian offensive by 2029 serves as both a warning and a strategic maneuver to secure continued support from European nations [1][3][9] Group 1: Strategic Messaging - Zelensky's rhetoric taps into deep-seated fears among Europeans regarding Russian aggression, framing the situation as a dire warning rather than a mere request for aid [3][5] - The timeline of "2029" is strategically chosen to create a sense of urgency and anxiety, compelling European leaders to act [3][5] - This approach reflects a shift from traditional appeals for assistance to a more aggressive form of "fear marketing," where the threat of Russia is used to extract financial and military support from Europe [3][5][6] Group 2: European Response - European leaders, including officials from Germany and Poland, have echoed the sentiment of a potential conflict with Russia within five years, aligning with Zelensky's narrative [5][6] - The mutual reinforcement of fear between Ukraine and European politicians creates a closed loop where both parties benefit: Ukraine secures aid while European leaders consolidate power and justify unpopular policies [5][7] - The narrative that aiding Ukraine is an investment in European security helps to deflect public scrutiny regarding rising costs and internal economic pressures [6][7] Group 3: Strategic Autonomy - The situation illustrates a troubling dynamic where Ukraine, rather than Europe, appears to dictate the terms of engagement and response to Russian threats [9][10] - Europe's strategic autonomy is compromised as it finds itself increasingly reliant on Ukraine's framing of the crisis, rather than establishing its own independent security agenda [10][11] - The real danger lies not in external threats from Russia, but in Europe's inability to assert its own strategic direction amidst internal chaos and external manipulation [11][12] Group 4: Future Considerations - European leaders must confront the challenge of breaking free from this cycle of dependency and fear, and develop a sustainable security policy that reflects their own interests [12] - The pressing question for Europe is how to reclaim its strategic independence and avoid being further ensnared in a narrative designed to perpetuate crisis [12]