Group 1 - The current bull market, which began with the "924" trend in 2024, is not over and is now entering its second phase, shifting from sentiment-driven to fundamentals-driven [1] - The complete bull market consists of three phases: incubation, explosion, and frenzy, with the current phase resembling the 519 market, characterized by structural features where "small assets" outperform "large assets" [1] - By 2026, the driving force of the bull market will transition to fundamentals, with steady recovery in ROE and improved profit expectations for listed companies [1] Group 2 - Technology is the main theme of the current bull market, with significant contributions from 15 major tech stocks accounting for a 10% increase in the overall market, particularly from companies like SMIC and Cambrian [2] - The AI industry is led by both China and the US, with over one-third of domestic hard-tech companies still in the growth phase, indicating substantial profit margin improvement potential compared to US counterparts [2] - Key focus areas for 2026 include application performance in AI glasses, robotics, smart driving, AI programming, and AI in life sciences [2] Group 3 - Mid-bull market often sees style rotation, with a focus on undervalued sectors such as liquor (high dividend), brokerage (high growth), and real estate (leading stock prices) [3] - For dividend assets that underperformed in 2025, maintaining a certain level of exposure is advisable due to their ability to withstand market fluctuations and the demand for dividend yields that exceed existing mortgage rates [3]
国信证券:牛途仍在 科技主线演绎路径从算力转向应用