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US stock market outlook for November 17-21: All eyes on tech earnings, Nvidia and economic data
NvidiaNvidia(US:NVDA) The Economic Timesยท2025-11-16 20:45

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming week is critical for the US stock market, with a 'moderately bullish' outlook amid macroeconomic uncertainty and sector rotations affecting investor sentiment [1]. Company Insights - Nvidia is anticipated to report earnings on Wednesday, with expectations of $54.9 billion in revenue, reflecting a 56.4% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure and data center hardware [4][12]. - Nvidia's performance is viewed as a market referendum for the entire tech sector, with significant implications for individual chip stocks and the broader S&P 500 [2][4]. - Wall Street consensus suggests Nvidia may exceed forecasts, but concerns about AI investment sustainability and market positioning have heightened the stakes for its earnings report [5][12]. Industry Trends - The week will also feature earnings reports from major retailers such as Home Depot, Target, Walmart, Baidu, and Lowe's, indicating a busy earnings season [11]. - The recent government shutdown has created uncertainty in gauging the US economy, with the release of verified economic data expected to clarify trends in inflation, employment, and growth [6][12]. - A rotation into defensive sectors like healthcare, energy, and staples suggests a declining confidence in tech and AI momentum, which could persist if Nvidia's report disappoints or if economic data underperform [10][12].